Publications

Papers

Turchin, Peter, Thomas E. Currie, and Edward A.L. Turner. 2016. “Mapping the Spread of Mounted Warfare.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, 7(2): 217-227. doi: 10.21237/C7clio7233509. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/8qq4w9q5.

Hoyer, Daniel. 2016. “Turning the Inside Out: the fragmentation of Roman rule in Gaul and Africa during the third century A.D.” In Rome and the Worlds beyond Its Frontiers, edited by M. Peachin and D. Slootjes, 67-95. Leiden: Brill.

François, Pieter, Joseph Manning, Harvey Whitehouse, Rob Brennan, Thomas Currie, Kevin Feeney, Peter Turchin. 2016. “A Macroscope for Global History: Seshat Global History Databank, a Methodological Overview.” Digital Humanities Quarterly 10(4). http://www.digitalhumanities.org/dhq/vol/10/4/000272/000272.html.

Brennan, Rob; Feeney, Kevin; Mendel-Gleason, Gavin; Bozic, Bojan; Turchin, Peter; Whitehouse, Harvey; François, Pieter; Currie, Thomas; Grohmann, Stephanie. 2016. “Building the Seshat Ontology for a Global History Databank.” The Semantic Web. Latest Advances and New Domains, 13th International Conference, ESWC 2016, Proceedings, LNCS, ed. H. Sack, Blomqvist, E., d’Aquin, M., Ghidini, C., Paolo Ponzetto, S., Lange, C., vol. 9678, 693-708.  http://seshatdatabank.info/publications/eswc2016seshatontologyrevised_v09/.

Turchin, Peter and Currie, Thomas E. 2016. “Cultural group selection is plausible, but the predictions of its hypotheses should be tested with real-world data.” Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 39: 43-44.

Currie, Thomas E; Turchin, Peter; Bednar, Jenna; Richerson, Peter J.; Schwesinger, Georg; Steinmo, Sven; Wacziarg, Romain; Wallis, John. 2016. “Evolution of Institutions and Organizations.” Complexity and Evolution: Toward a New Synthesis for Economics, ed. D. S. Wilson and A. Kirman. Strüngmann Forum Reports, vol. 19, J. Lupp, series editor. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press

Whitehouse, Harvey; François, Pieter; & Turchin, Peter. 2015. “The Role of Ritual in the Evolution of Social Complexity: Five Predictions and a Drum Roll.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, 6(2): 199-216. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/4836f93g.

Turchin, Peter, Brennan, Rob; Currie, Thomas; Feeney, Kevin; François, Pieter; Hoyer, Daniel; Manning Joseph, et al. 2015. “Seshat: The Global History Databank.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 6(1): 77-107. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/9qx38718.

Currie, Thomas; Bogaard, Amy; Cesaretti, Rudolf; Edwards, Neil R.; François, Pieter; Holden, Philip; Hoyer, Daniel, et. al. 2015. “Agricultural Productivity in Past Societies: Toward an Empirically Informed Model for Testing Cultural Evolutionary Hypotheses.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 6(1): 24-56. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4h29270b.

Currie, Thomas E. 2014. “Developing Scales of Development.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 5(1): 65-74. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/1gm3v3cp.

Turchin, Peter. 2014. “Cultural Evolution and Cliodynamics.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution (5)1: 1-3. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/63v195gz.

Whitehouse, Harvey; Mazzucato, Camilla; Hodder, Ian; & Atkinson, Quentin D. (2014). “Modes of Religiosity and the Evolution of Social Complexity at Çatalhöyük.” In Religion at Work in a Neolithic Society. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. http://assets.cambridge.org/97811070/47334/toc/9781107047334_toc.pdf.

Turchin, Peter; Currie, Thomas E.; Turner, Edward A. L.; & Gavrilets, Sergey. 2013. “War, Space, and the Evolution of Old World Complex Societies.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (31): 16384-89. doi:10.1073/pnas.1308825110. http://www.pnas.org/content/110/41/16384.abstract.

Turchin, Peter. 2013. “The West and the Rest: The Science of the Great Divergence.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 4 (1): 67-85. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/577293kd.

Turchin, Peter. 2012. “Religion and Empire in the Axial Age.” Religion, Brain & Behavior 2 (3): 256-60. doi:10.1080/2153599X.2012.721220. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/2153599X.2012.721220.

Turchin, Peter; Whitehouse, Harvey; François, Pieter; Slingerland, Edward; & Collard, Mark. 2012. “A Historical Database of Sociocultural Evolution.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 3(2): 271-293. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/2x14s2tw.

Turchin, Peter. 2011. “Toward Cliodynamics – an Analytical, Predictive Science of History.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 2 (1): 167-186. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/82s3p5hj.

Turchin, Peter. 2008. “Arise ‘cliodynamics.’” Nature 454 (7200): 34-35. http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v454/n7200/full/454034a.html.

Book Reviews

Mullins, Daniel. 2016. “A Review of Tim Lewens’ Cultural Evolution: Conceptual Challenges.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 7(2): 290-297. doi: 10.21237/C7clio7233335. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3790p0p0.

Collins, Christina. 2016. “Fear over Hope: A Review of Dominic Johnson’s God is Watching You.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, 7(2): 298-303. doi: 10.21237/C7clio7233334. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/81s526vs.

Mullins, Daniel. 2015. “War, Peace, and Human Nature: The Convergence of Evolutionary and Cultural Views by Douglas Fry.” Journal of the Anthropological Society of Oxford. 7 (2): 239-45. https://www.isca.ox.ac.uk/fileadmin/ISCA/JASO/2015/Book_reviews_7-2.pdf

Currie, Thomas E. 2014. “Developing Scales of Development.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 5 (1): 65-74.  http://escholarship.org/uc/item/1gm3v3cp.

Currie, Thomas. 2013. “Inequality and Institutions: A Review Essay on Why Nations Fail by Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 4(1): 153-161. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8bm04882.

Hoyer, Daniel. 2016. “Monotheisms and Inter-Faith Conflict Precipitated the Rise of Western Europe. A Review of War, Peace, and Prosperity in the Name of God: The Ottoman Role in Europe’s Socioeconomic Evolution by Murat Iyigun (University of Chicago Press, 2015).” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 7.1: 181-6. http://dx.doi.org/10.21237/C7clio7131581.

Opinion Pieces

Turchin, Peter. 2016. “Mine the Past for Patterns.” Nature 535:488-489. http://www.nature.com/news/lessons-from-brexit-1.20306.

Forthcoming

Turchin P. “Deep Historical Roots of European Values, Institutions, and Identities.” In Do Europeans Exist?

Hoyer, Daniel and J.G. Manning. “Empirical Regularities across Time, Space, and Culture: A Critical Review of Comparative Methods in Ancient Historical Research.” Historia.

Manning, Patrick, Pieter François, Daniel Hoyer, and Vladimir Zadorozhny. “Collaborative Historical Information Analysis.” In Comprehensive Geographic Information Systems ,3 vols, edited by Bo Huang, Amsterdam: Elsevier.