Academic Publications

Articles

Turchin, Peter, Harvey Whitehouse, Pieter François, Daniel Hoyer, Abel Alves, John Baines….Liye Xie. In Press. “An Introduction to Seshat: Global History Databank.” Journal of Cognitive History. doi: 10.1558/jch.39395. SocArXiv Preprint.

Whitehouse, Harvey, Pieter François, Patrick E. Savage, Thomas E. Currie, Kevin C. Feeney, Enrico Cioni, Rosalind Purcell, Robert M. Ross, Jennifer Larson, John Baines, Barend ter Haar, Alan Covey, and Peter Turchin. In Press. “A New Era in the Study of Global History is Born but it Needs to be Nurtured.” Journal of Cognitive History. doi: 10.1558/jch.39422. SocArXiv Preprint.

Savage, Patrick E., Whitehouse, Harvey, Pieter François, Thomas E. Currie, Kevin C. Feeney, Enrico Cioni, Rosalind Purcell, Robert M. Ross, Jennifer Larson, John Baines, Barend ter Haar, Alan Covey, and Peter Turchin. Submitted. “Reply to Beheim et al.: Reanalyses confirm robustness of original analyses.” SocArXiv Preprint.

Whitehouse, Harvey*, Pieter François*, Patrick E. Savage*, Thomas E. Currie, Kevin C. Feeney, Enrico Cioni, Rosalind Purcell, Robert M. Ross, Jennifer Larson, John Baines, Barend ter Haar, Alan Covey, and Peter Turchin. 2019. “Complex societies precede moralizing gods throughout world history.” Nature. http://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1043-4.

Turchin, Peter, Nina Witoszek, Stefan Thurner, David Garcia, Roger Griffin, Daniel Hoyer, Atle Midttun, James Bennett, Knut Myrum Næss, and Sergey Gavrilets. 2018. “A History of Possible Futures: Multipath Forecasting of Social Breakdown, Recovery, and Resilience.” Cliodynamics 9 (2): 124-39. https://doi.org/10.21237/C7clio9242078.

Turchin, Peter. 2018. “Fitting Dynamic Regression Models to Seshat Data.” Cliodynamics 9 (1): 25-58. https://doi.org/10.21237/C7clio9137696.

Turchin, Peter. 2018. “Translating Knowledge about Past Societies into Seshat Data.” Cliodynamics 9 (1): 143-147.

Mullins, Daniel Austin, Daniel Hoyer, Christina Collins, Thomas Currie, Kevin Feeney, Pieter François, Patrick E. Savage, Harvey Whitehouse, and Peter Turchin. 2018. “A Systematic Assessment of ‘Axial Age’ Proposals Using Global Comparative Historical Evidence.” American Sociological Review 83 (3): 596–626. https://doi.org/10.1177/0003122418772567.

Turchin, Peter, Thomas E. Currie, Harvey Whitehouse, Pieter François, Kevin Feeney, Daniel Mullins, Daniel Hoyer, Christina Collins, Stephanie Grohmann, Patrick Savage, Gavin Mendel-Gleason, Edward Turner, Agathe Dupeyron, Enrico Cioni, Jenny Reddish, Jill Levine, Greine Jordan, Eva Brandl, Alice Williams, Rudolf Cesaretti, Marta Krueger, Alessandro Ceccarelli, Joe Figliulo-Rosswurm, Po-Ju Tuan, Peter Peregrine, Arkadiusz Marciniak, Johannes Preiser-Kapeller, Nikolay Kradin, Andrey Korotayev, Alessio Palmisano, David Baker, Julye Bidmead, Peter Bol, David Christian, Connie Cook, Alan Covey, Gary Feinman, Árni Daníel Júlíusson, Axel Kristinsson, John Miksic, Ruth Mostern, Cameron Petrie, Peter Rudiak-Gould, Barend ter Haar, Vesna Wallace, Victor Mair, Liye Xie, John Baines, Elizabeth Bridges, Joseph Manning, Bruce Lockhart, Amy Bogaard, and Charles Spencer. 2018. “Quantitative Historical Analysis Uncovers a Single Dimension of Complexity That Structures Global Variation in Human Social Organization.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (2): E144–51. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708800115.

Turchin, Peter, Thomas E. Currie, Harvey Whitehouse, Pieter François, Kevin Feeney, Daniel Mullins, Daniel Hoyer, Christina Collins, Stephanie Grohmann, Patrick Savage, Gavin Mendel-Gleason, Edward Turner, Agathe Dupeyron, Enrico Cioni, Jenny Reddish, Jill Levine, Greine Jordan, Eva Brandl, Alice Williams, Rudolf Cesaretti, Marta Krueger, Alessandro Ceccarelli, Joe Figliulo-Rosswurm, Po-Ju Tuan, Peter Peregrine, Arkadiusz Marciniak, Johannes Preiser-Kapeller, Nikolay Kradin, Andrey Korotayev, Alessio Palmisano, David Baker, Julye Bidmead, Peter Bol, David Christian, Connie Cook, Alan Covey, Gary Feinman, Árni Daníel Júlíusson, Axel Kristinsson, John Miksic, Ruth Mostern, Cameron Petrie, Peter Rudiak-Gould, Barend ter Haar, Vesna Wallace, Victor Mair, Liye Xie, John Baines, Elizabeth Bridges, Joseph Manning, Bruce Lockhart, Amy Bogaard, and Charles Spencer. 2018 “Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (26): E5841-5842. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1807312115.

Hoyer, Daniel. “An Overview of the Numismatic Evidence from Imperial Roman Africa.” ISAWPapers 13 (2018). http://dlib.nyu.edu/awdl/isaw/isaw-papers/13/.

Peregrine, Peter N., Rob Brennan, Thomas Currie, Kevin Feeney, Pieter François, Peter Turchin, and Harvey Whitehouse. 2018. “Dacura: A new solution to data harvesting and knowledge extraction for the historical sciences.” Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History. 51(3): 165-174. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01615440.2018.1443863. 

Hoyer, Daniel and J.G. Manning. 2018. “Empirical Regularities across Time, Space, and Culture: A Critical Review of Comparative Methods in Ancient Historical Research.” Historia. 

Brewer, J., M. Gelfrand, JC. Jackson, IF. Macdonald, PN. Peregrine, PJ. Richerson, P. Turchin, H. Whitehouse, and DS. Wilson. 2017. “Grand challenges for the study of cultural evolution.” Nat Ecol Evol 1(3): 70. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-017-0070

Turchin, Peter, Thomas E. Currie, and Edward A.L. Turner. 2016. “Mapping the Spread of Mounted Warfare.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, 7(2): 217-227. doi: 10.21237/C7clio7233509. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/8qq4w9q5.

Hoyer, Daniel. 2016. “Turning the Inside Out: the fragmentation of Roman rule in Gaul and Africa during the third century A.D.” In Rome and the Worlds beyond Its Frontiers, edited by M. Peachin and D. Slootjes, 67–95. Leiden: Brill.

McKay, Ryan T., and Harvey Whitehouse. 2016. “Religion promotes a love for thy neighbor. But how big is the neighbourhood?” (Commentary on Norenzayan et al.). Behavioral and Brain Sciences 39. doi: 10.1017/S0140525X15000503.

Wilson, David Sloan, Yasha Hartberg, Ian MacDonald, Jonathan A. Lanman, and Harvey Whitehouse. 2016. “The Nature of Religious Diversity: A Cultural Ecosystem Approach.” Religion, Brain, and Behavior. doi: 10.1080/2153599X.2015. 1132243

François, Pieter, Joseph Manning, Harvey Whitehouse, Rob Brennan, Thomas Currie, Kevin Feeney, and Peter Turchin. 2016. “A Macroscope for Global History: Seshat Global History Databank, a Methodological Overview.” Digital Humanities Quarterly 10(4). http://www.digitalhumanities.org/dhq/vol/10/4/000272/000272.html.

Brennan, Rob, Kevin Feeney, Gavin Mendel-Gleason, Bojan Bozic, Peter Turchin, Harvey Whitehouse, Pieter François, Thomas Currie, and Stephanie Grohmann. 2016. “Building the Seshat Ontology for a Global History Databank.” The Semantic Web. Latest Advances and New Domains, 13th International Conference, ESWC 2016, Proceedings, LNCS, ed. H. Sack, Blomqvist, E., d’Aquin, M., Ghidini, C., Paolo Ponzetto, S., Lange, C., vol. 9678, 693–708.  http://seshatdatabank.info/publications/eswc2016seshatontologyrevised_v09/.

Turchin, Peter and Thomas E. Currie. 2016. “Cultural group selection is plausible, but the predictions of its hypotheses should be tested with real-world data.” Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 39: 43–44.

Currie, Thomas E, Peter Turchin, Jenna Bednar, Peter J. Richerson, Georg Schwesinger, Sven Steinmo, Romain Wacziarg, and John Wallis. 2016. “Evolution of Institutions and Organizations.” Complexity and Evolution: Toward a New Synthesis for Economics, ed. D. S. Wilson and A. Kirman. Strüngmann Forum Reports, vol. 19, J. Lupp, series editor. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press

Whitehouse, Harvey, Pieter François, and Peter Turchin. 2015. “The Role of Ritual in the Evolution of Social Complexity: Five Predictions and a Drum Roll.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, 6(2): 199–216. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/4836f93g.

Turchin, Peter, Rob Brennan, Thomas Currie, Kevin Feeney, Pieter François, Daniel Hoyer, Joseph Manning, Arkadiusz Marciniak, Daniel Mullins, Alessio Palmisano, Peter Peregrine, Edward A.L. Turner, and Harvey Whitehouse. 2015. “Seshat: The Global History Databank.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 6(1): 77–107. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/9qx38718.

Currie, Thomas, Amy Bogaard, Rudolf Cesaretti, Neil R. Edwards, Pieter François, Philip Holden, Daniel Hoyer, et. al. 2015. “Agricultural Productivity in Past Societies: Toward an Empirically Informed Model for Testing Cultural Evolutionary Hypotheses.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 6(1): 24–56. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4h29270b.

Savage PE, S Brown, E Sakai, and TE Currie. 2015. “Statistical universals reveal the structures and functions of human music.” Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 112(29), 8987–8992. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2014.2556.

Watts J, SJ Greenhill, QD Atkinson, TE Currie, J Bulbulia, and RD Gray. 2015. “Broad supernatural punishment but not moralizing high gods precede the evolution of political complexity in Austronesia.” Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences 282(1804).

Salali, Gul Deniz, Harvey Whitehouse, and Michael E. Hochberg. 2015. “A Life-Cycle Model of Human Social Groups Produces a U-Shaped Distribution in Group Size.” PLoS ONE 10(9): e0138496. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0138496

McKay, Ryan and Harvey Whitehouse. 2015. “Religion and Morality.” Psychological Bulletin 141(2): 447–73. doi:1037/a0038455

Turchin, Peter. 2014. “Cultural Evolution and Cliodynamics.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution (5)1: 1–3. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/63v195gz.

Turchin, Peter. 2014. “The SESHAT Databank Project: the 2014 Report.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution (5):58–64. doi: 10.21237/c7clio5125311. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/5pv8z9g6

Whitehouse, Harvey and Jonathan A. Lanman. 2014. “The Ties that Bind Us: Ritual, fusion, and identification.” Current Anthropology 55(6): 674 – 695. doi: 10.1086/678698.

Whitehouse, Harvey, Brian McQuinn, Michael Buhrmester, and William B. Swann. 2014. “Brothers in Arms: Libyan revolutionaries bond like Family.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111(50): 17783–17785. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1416284111.

Turchin, Peter, Thomas E. Currie, Edward A.L. Turner, and Sergey Gavrilets. 2013. “War, Space, and the Evolution of Old World Complex Societies.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (31): 16384–89. doi:10.1073/pnas.1308825110. http://www.pnas.org/content/110/41/16384.abstract

Turchin, Peter. 2013. “The West and the Rest: The Science of the Great Divergence.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 4 (1): 67–85. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/577293kd.

Turchin, Peter. 2012. “Religion and Empire in the Axial Age.” Religion, Brain & Behavior 2 (3): 256–60. doi:10.1080/2153599X.2012.721220. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/2153599X.2012.721220.

Turchin, Peter, Harvey Whitehouse, Pieter François, Edward Slingerland, and Mark Collard. 2012. “A Historical Database of Sociocultural Evolution.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 3(2): 271–293. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/2x14s2tw.

Turchin, Peter. 2011. “Toward Cliodynamics – an Analytical, Predictive Science of History.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 2 (1): 167–186. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/82s3p5hj.

Turchin, Peter. 2008. “Arise ‘cliodynamics.’” Nature 454 (7200): 34–35. http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v454/n7200/full/454034a.html.

Book Chapters

Whitehouse, Harvey, 2018. “Ritual and Social Evolution: Understanding Social Complexity Through Data.” In Computational History and Data-Driven Humanities, Second IFIP WG 12.7 International Workshop, CHDDH 2016, Dublin, Ireland, May 25, 2016, Revised Selected Papers, edited by Bojan Bozic, Gavin Mendel-Gleason, Christophe Debruyne, and Declan O’Sullivan, 3-14. New York: Springer. https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-319-46224-0

Feeney, Kevin, 2018. “The Dacura Data Curation System.” In Computational History and Data-Driven Humanities, Second IFIP WG 12.7 International Workshop, CHDDH 2016, Dublin, Ireland, May 25, 2016, Revised Selected Papers, edited by Bojan Bozic, Gavin Mendel-Gleason, Christophe Debruyne, and Declan O’Sullivan, 15-20. New York: Springer. https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-319-46224-0

Francois, Pieter, Stephanie Grohmann, Katja Eck, Odhran Gavin, Andreas Koller, Helmut Nagy, Christian Dirschl, Peter Turchin and Harvey Whitehouse. 2018. “Evaluation.” In Engineering Agile Big-Data Systems, edited by Kevin Feeney et al., San Francisco, CA: River Publishers. https://www.riverpublishers.com/research_details.php?book_id=659. 

Gronenborn, D., H.C. Strien, P. Turchin, and R. v. Dick. 2018. “Social Diversity, Social Identity and the Emergence of Surplus in the Western-Central European Neolithic.” In Surplus without the State: Political Forms in Prehistory, edited by H. Meller, D. Gronenborn, and R. Risch, 201-222. Halle: Tagungen des Landesmuseums Vorgeschichte.

Manning, Patrick, Pieter François, Daniel Hoyer, and Vladimir Zadorozhny. 2017. “Collaborative Historical Information Analysis.” In Comprehensive Geographic Information Systems, 3 vols, edited by Bo Huang. Amsterdam: Elsevier.

Whitehouse, Harvey, and Pieter François. 2017. “Ritual, Emotion, and Power.” In Merridee L. Bailey and Katie Barclay (eds.) Emotion, Ritual and Power in Europe, 1200-1920. Palgrave Macmillan. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-44185-6

Whitehouse, Harvey. 2016. “Ritual and Social Evolution: Understanding social complexity through data.” In Computational History and Data-Driven Humanities, edited by B. Bozic et al., 1–12. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-46224-01

Whitehouse, Harvey and Dan Jones. 2016. “Modes of Religiosity.” In Mental Religion: The Brain, Cognition, and Culture, edited by Niki Clements. Macmillan Interdisciplinary Handbooks on Religion. London: Macmillan.

Whitehouse, Harvey. 2015. “Explaining Religion and Ritual.” In Religion: Perspectives from the Engelsberg seminar 2014, edited by K. Almqvist and A. Linklater, 261–70. Stockholm: Axel and Margaret Ax:son Johnson Foundation.

Whitehouse, Harvey, Camilla Mazzucato, Ian Hodder, and Quentin D. Atkinson. 2014. “Modes of Religiosity and the Evolution of Social Complexity at Çatalhöyük.” In Religion at Work in a Neolithic Society. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. http://assets.cambridge.org/97811070/47334/toc/9781107047334_toc.pdf.

Book Reviews

Hoyer, Daniel. 2018. “Pulling a Little Optimism Out of a Very Grim Account of Global Inequality. A Review of The Great Leveler: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the Twenty-First Century by Walter Scheidel (Princeton University Press, 2017).” Cliodynamics 9 (1): 130-142. https://doi.org/10.21237/C7clio9138349.

Mullins, Daniel. 2016. “A Review of Tim Lewens’ Cultural Evolution: Conceptual Challenges.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 7(2): 290–297. doi: 10.21237/C7clio7233335. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3790p0p0.

Hoyer, Daniel. 2016. “Monotheisms and Inter-Faith Conflict Precipitated the Rise of Western Europe. A Review of War, Peace, and Prosperity in the Name of God: The Ottoman Role in Europe’s Socioeconomic Evolution by Murat Iyigun (University of Chicago Press, 2015).” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 7.1: 181–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.21237/C7clio7131581.

Collins, Christina. 2016. “Fear over Hope: A Review of Dominic Johnson’s God is Watching You.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, 7(2): 298–303. doi: 10.21237/C7clio7233334. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/81s526vs.

Mullins, Daniel. 2015. “War, Peace, and Human Nature: The Convergence of Evolutionary and Cultural Views by Douglas Fry.” Journal of the Anthropological Society of Oxford. 7 (2): 239–45. https://www.isca.ox.ac.uk/fileadmin/ISCA/JASO/2015/Book_reviews_7-2.pdf

Currie, Thomas E. 2014. “Developing Scales of Development.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution 5 (1): 65–74.  http://escholarship.org/uc/item/1gm3v3cp.

Currie, Thomas. 2013. “Inequality and Institutions: A Review Essay on Why Nations Fail by Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 4(1): 153–161. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8bm04882.

Opinion Pieces

Turchin, Peter. 2016. “Mine the Past for Patterns.” Nature 535:488–489. http://www.nature.com/news/lessons-from-brexit-1.20306.

Preprints

Currie, Thomas, Peter Turchin, and Sergey Gavrilets. 2019. “History of agriculture and intensity of warfare shaped the evolution of large-scale human societies in Afro-Eurasia.” SocArXiv Preprint.

Turchin, Peter, Thomas E. Currie, Christina Collins, Jill Levine, Oluwole Oyebamiji, Neil R. Edwards, Philip.B. Holden, Daniel Hoyer, Kevin Feeney, Pieter Francois, and Harvey Whitehouse. 2019. “Crop Productivity Estimates for Past Societies in the World Sample-30 of Seshat: Global History Databank.” SocArXiv Preprint.

Turchin, Peter, Harvey Whitehouse, Andrey Korotayev, Pieter Francois, Daniel Hoyer, Peter Peregrine, Gary Feinman, Charles Spencer, Nikolay Kradin, Thomas E. Currie. 2018. “Evolutionary Pathways to Statehood: Old Theories and New Data.” SocArXiv Preprint.

*Equal contribution